Analog years question

[regionrat]

John,
When you're developing your winter outlook, do you look at analog years?

 

[jd]

I don't really put much faith behind using analog years. Rather than go onto depth here, I will point you to the link I put out with my seasonal forecast that explains my ideas on seasonal forecasting.

-John

 

[regionrat]

Thanks John. I forgot that you address analog years annually. I need to remember to read your thoughts every year when I start reading message boards discussing the upcoming winter. Think Snow!!!!!!!!!!!!!!