Oil falls below $80 per barrel today

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lenny

Guest
so what your saying is the gov doesnt get involved in loans but than again it does? I wonder how the gov guarantees the loan, with what monies? You say you will not default and good for you, I wonder if Solyndra ever thought that same thing?

I called it Obama because that is what people are calling it. My in laws were waiting for "Obama money" so they said. If the gov is going to get involved in the loan in any way, why not do it in a way to make a few dollars. Do you think you have contributed to defaulted gov loans (call it what we want, many call it a gov loan, semantics) in the past. I believe we know the answer and it's a big fat YES and we just got the hook for another 535 mil. Gov loan, gov guaranteed loan,,, whatever, they loose their arse and we pay. Maybe they should loan directly and make some interest. Their big fat appetite to be involved in many aspects of out lives is growing at an incredible rate especially with big O

I am not saying I have a huge problem with the gov involved but than again why should Johnny in Montgomery or Timmy in Houston be responsible for someones problem. It's a tangled mess and a new approach needs to be figured out. How about we as citizens be responsible for our future and invest, private companies could do that as they already do and social security could be gone ( in a timely manner)

Bail outs, I wonder where all that cash comes from? I don't know, do you?
 

dcsnomo

Moderator
Didn't say the gov't doesn't get involved with loans. Said the gov't doesn't make the loan. That is not the function of the gov't to compete with private banks. Banks make the loan. Gov't guarantees that borrower will not default. No money involved. If anonomoose wants to borrow $1500 from you and I guarantee to you that he will pay you back, and he does, I have spent no money. The gov't does NOT front the money to the lender, it is the lender's money...capitalism at work. Gov't should not be in competition with banks, just like I want no government owned motels, and you want no gov't owned home remodeling firms. What you are asking for is for the government to nationalize the banks.

I know that tax money covers the cost of bad loans. I also know that providing these loan guarantees allows businesses like mine to be in business. There are 8 people working here today, without the SBA loan there would be exactly 0.

As to Johnny in Montgomery or Timmy in Houston being responsible, well, I guess that's what you call the shared risk of our society, part of leading a civilized life. Jobs are good, the government helps businesses to grow, the risk is shared. Just as Timmy in Houston shares the risk of a bad loan in the UP, Lenny in the UP shares the risk when Timmy's house gets blown away when a hurricane wipes Houston off the map.

As for the bail-outs, the cash clearly came from us. But, it was not a handout, it was not free. The bail-outs were the government injecting cash into a business in return for equity. The gov't did not "give" money to AIG. The government bought 79.9% of AIG, I know, with our money. But the gov't got 80% ownership in all the assets, and has been selling them to pay the debt, as well as selling its position in this and other companies that were bailed out.

And the result? Some bailouts were good, some were bad. But, after $700B in bailouts, the US treasury expects to make a $24B PROFIT on the program. That's a 3.4% ROI, in addition to keeping the businesses open and the people employed, who, btw, are paying taxes rather than collecting unemployment. They are making mortgage payments rather than defaulting. Probably buying cars, blue jeans, washers and dryers, maybe even motel rooms. Not too bad, eh?
 

dcsnomo

Moderator
BTW, I gotta meet you this winter! I'll buy the beer, with the profit from my small business, partially financed by a government program, supported by your taxes! Obama beer!!!!!!
 
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lenny

Guest
Didn't say the gov't doesn't get involved with loans. Said the gov't doesn't make the loan,,,, I was making a point that regardless we pay because loans fail and I would not chalk that up to living a civilized life.

Things are not adding up here my friend. You say you would back moose for his loan and as long as he pays you don't, that's totally incorrect. You may not pay the loan back but you have invested time and resources that's going to come from some budget, right?. On a national scale it will be in the millions for the gov to secure loans after wages, processing and energy. You say in is not the govs place to compete for bank loans but you are okay with them taking the risk of owning assets in AIG or GM, Chrysler and who else? What if the assets loose value. Do you really want the gov operating on this scale. We often see projections not adding up. I sometimes buy something I don't need and later need to sell it. Most often I take a loss because I needed to sell and didn't have the luxury to wait it out for a better market. How many times these days do we see foreclosed homes selling way under market and making a deal with the bank just to get ride of the home. A bank is not in business to own homes now is it? Is it the function of the Gov to own assets or take the risk on the scale we see today. I understand it is a result but I maintain it is a high risk move and unnecessary. Do you see foreclosed homes as a positive thing for a bank, the homeowner or the gov? We have had good debate here and I will allow you to buy the beer, paying me back for the cash I loaned you,,,,just kidding,,,,,lol,,,'ll buy!

I often think about the fundamental difference between people with opinions and ideas. What I see is that many people buy into the already existing and add to it. Often they are restricted within parameters because new ideas are to far off base. With our current Pres, he continues to further the liberal agenda to great lengths. I honestly do not use "liberal" as a negative word but rather it's actual meaning. The other way of thinking conserves what has been and is less apt to make bold moves. I personally see these days as a time to not experiment, even tho the experiment may be proven, as you state, it's the scale of size that is disturbing. People were fed up with GW for war reasons and became desperate for change. We could have had a more conservative leader from either party without this monstrous climbing debt.

What I did say was that if the gov is going to get involved at least charge some interest. A slim option for a loan from the gov, otherwise unavailable to a borrower in a emergency (and regulated responsibly) may be helpful. It may be a poor idea but sometimes a soft heart can get people into trouble, like Rick Perry paying for college to aliens instead of them hanging around possibly gang bangin.


The bigger point here is, and it is directly related to my issue and drives my opinions when we get into these topics, is that the gov needs to step back into it's place and allow the markets to do what they will. If that means fail than so be it. Don't reward poor operation of a business with more money. Enabling someone to fail is a way to squander, especially when you squander something that isn't even yours, so to speak
 
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dcsnomo

Moderator
Didn't say the gov't doesn't get involved with loans. Said the gov't doesn't make the loan,,,, I was making a point that regardless we pay because loans fail and I would not chalk that up to living a civilized life.

Yes, we pay for the failed loans. However, we benefit greatly from the loans that succeed. The loans that succeed (83% of them for SBA) generate jobs and employees that pay taxes and buy stuff, and don't collect unemployment checks.

Things are not adding up here my friend. You say you would back moose for his loan and as long as he pays you don't, that's totally incorrect. You may not pay the loan back but you have invested time and resources that's going to come from some budget, right?. On a national scale it will be in the millions for the gov to secure loans after wages, processing and energy.

You are assuming that there are only the downside of the failed loans, you are not acknowledging the benefits of the successful loans. Don't feel bad about the government and the cost of the loans. Every month 12.5% of my payment goes to the SBA for servicing cost.

You say in is not the govs place to compete for bank loans but you are okay with them taking the risk of owning assets in AIG or GM, Chrysler and who else?

I'm not sure I am OK with it, but in hindsight saving the jobs and making a $24B profit is significantly better than flushing a few hundred thousand jobs and their tax payments and disposable income from the income side of the economy into the unemployment system, which is a drain on the nation's wealth and a massive increase in debt. AIG et.al. is paying it back with a profit, unemployment and lost purchasing power is never paid back

What if the assets loose value.

Then you have to decide if the loss was worth saving the jobs. Remember, there is a direct and indirect cost to lost jobs. Would you rather pay to keep the companies going and the people working, or pay to have them collect unemployment, food stamps, and lose their homes? Me, I'll pick employment. Lenny, you will pay either way!

Do you really want the gov operating on this scale.

No, not at all. I am a capitalist, I would much prefer to have a vibrant economy that creates jobs and shareholder value. I would also like to see a resurgent middle class from these jobs.

We often see projections not adding up. I sometimes buy something I don't need and later need to sell it. Most often I take a loss because I needed to sell and didn't have the luxury to wait it out for a better market. How many times these days do we see foreclosed homes selling way under market and making a deal with the bank just to get ride of the home. A bank is not in business to own homes now is it?

You are correct

Is it the function of the Gov to own assets or take the risk on the scale we see today.

[I]No, it is the function of the economy to do that. Unfortunately, our economy is DOA and not responding. The question you need to ask is to what extent is it the government's responsibility to spur economic growth vs. allowing the free market to figure it out? The asset purchases were part of a much bigger strategy to save jobs.[/I]

I understand it is a result but I maintain it is a high risk move and unnecessary. Do you see foreclosed homes as a positive thing for a bank, the homeowner or the gov?

No, it is not positive, but it is a reality, like it or not

We have had good debate here and I will allow you to buy the beer, paying me back for the cash I loaned you,,,,just kidding,,,,,lol,,,'ll buy!

I've had a blast with you on this one.....! OK, I accept, you buy the beer!

I often think about the fundamental difference between people with opinions and ideas. What I see is that many people buy into the already existing and add to it. Often they are restricted within parameters because new ideas are to far off base. With our current Pres, he continues to further the liberal agenda to great lengths. I honestly do not use "liberal" as a negative word but rather it's actual meaning. The other way of thinking conserves what has been and is less apt to make bold moves. I personally see these days as a time to not experiment, even tho the experiment may be proven, as you state, it's the scale of size that is disturbing.

People were fed up with GW for war reasons and became desperate for change. We could have had a more conservative leader from either party without this monstrous climbing debt.

Agreed. And the problem is not the debt per se, we were all happy creating it over the last 30 years while we used the low tax rates to buy houses, boats, cars, and sleds. The problem with the debt is that the jobs it created are gone, now it's the morning after and we've sobered up and it ain't pretty

What I did say was that if the gov is going to get involved at least charge some interest.

They do, see 12.5% discussion above

A slim option for a loan from the gov, otherwise unavailable to a borrower in a emergency (and regulated responsibly) may be helpful.

Why an emergency? My buddy was just here complaining that he can't get money to grow his business, like your in-laws. He would have created jobs, bought equipment, bought trucks. Nope. No money. Ain't there. Can't get it.

It may be a poor idea but sometimes a soft heart can get people into trouble, like Rick Perry paying for college to aliens instead of them hanging around possibly gang bangin.

Hang on there, bubba! The issue on the college students in Texas and CA is not "paying for gang bangers to go to school". These students are illegal because their parents brought them in illegally at a young age (read as "not their decision"), they have grown up in the US (illegally) and gone to school here. They have done well enough to be admitted to college, but because they are illegal they pay out of state tuition. Perry's plan was to allow them to pay in-state tuition. Not a free ride, and not gang bangers.


The bigger point here is, and it is directly related to my issue and drives my opinions when we get into these topics, is that the gov needs to step back into it's place and allow the markets to do what they will.

So right now, banks won't loan money, businesses can't grow, employment is high, economy is flat-lined, and the government is supposed to do nothing but watch? No change in interest rates, no change in monetary policy, just sit there and stare at it? Just go to lunch with their favorite lobbyist and worry about the next election?

If that means fail than so be it. Don't reward poor operation of a business with more money. Enabling someone to fail is a way to squander, especially when you squander something that isn't even yours, so to speak

[I]Again, you are focusing on the failure. Focus on the success. If you make money available to a well performing business it will spur growth. And money is not available right now to well performing small business...no growth, no job creation![/I]

And that was fun, and I am spent, and the next continuation of this discussion will be at the Pit Stop when I drink those beers you promised me about 20 paragraphs ago!

Later, Lenny!
 
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lenny

Guest
This will be my final post concerning our debate also than. I see a major point that you make and that being the positive affects of the loans. I'm not sure how you can conclude success seeing that we have nothing to base that upon. Just because the loan did not fail certainly does not mean it has succeeded. The company may be destined to fail upon the leadership and vision quality so no money can keep that ship afloat. We have nothing to base success upon since the accountability to the borrower is probably nothing unlike many loans you have. For example, a construction loan you submit an invoice from a contractor and the bank cuts the check. I could be wrong but is there that level of responsibility of the borrower to the lender? I am unaware of it. All we can conclude from that is that the money was loaned and secured by the fed. You also mention money is not available to well performing businesses. I would label a well performing business as a business that can sustain it's own and or adjust to the economic fluctuations. I think the Chicago Bears should win the Super Bown this season but they can only do what they can do and for me to break the arm of the opposing teams q back is like the gov making the decision to risk something importan to the poeple, just like the cheese heads wanting the packs to win,,, again :mad:


Granted we want to see consistency which lends to stability but we cannot fabricate it. The market is just that, a delicate market with a huge variance of variables that is made up of players and when we interject a outside entity it just gives a false and temporary input that we hope can last till the players again stand up and play. It's a vicious cycle, war, unsustainable economic growth, ideology,,,etc plays havoc in the minds of the players and the players slow down. The gov steps up and jumps in but the players are resting and do not respond because they are not ready and so we see the risk of the gov's activity which I am personally uncomfortable with.

A few things we do know and observe is that loans fail, we pay, and currently a unprecedented high $ amount. We cannot gauge the success of the loan. We can speculate as to the success but reality and odds would dictate that some are teetering on the edge of success and failure. Just because they are still operating on a loan to keep function on the level before the loan doesnt claim success to the loan.

It's so obvious I don't write with the proper words and terms but keep in mind I swing a hammer for a living. I can see and feel something that is severely wrong in this nation and can only explain it as bast as I know how. I openly admit I may be wrong as to how to fix it but I see a fundamental principle that is being compromised here. The principle I refer to is, we're bankrupt, and we cannot spend our way out. Solyndra tech is an up and coming technology and to back that before it's time was the crucial mistake. That is why I say without accountability of the loans, the gov is a poor steward of the money it received from the tax payer. You mentioned the gov will make a 24 bil on the sold assets of aig, etc,,,that's frigging peanuts compared to a 535 bil loss on solyndra alone, keep in mind that's also a projection and not much is certain these days. An important indication here to think about is the fact that if the private sector will not, cannot invest, it ought to point weather or not backing is proper. I have been persistent in my opinion on the gov's positions regarding investing tax money into the private sector while maintaining the economy runs smooth when the players are playing.

I tried to borrow money to buy Beer Belly Bob's place and the bank said no and explained to me why and I see they are right so I went to plan B. They did loan me money on a property that I had equity in and so I build my wealth all on my own with little risk to anyone else,,and if I fail I fail, no bailout,,that's capitalism (opportunity for players, if you wanna play)

Lastly, The Pit Stop it is my friend!!!!!!!
 
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G

Guest
I also had an Omni 504 loan. It was set up through the MN SBA. The terms and conditions of a 504 are not anything like the recent 'loans' issued by the govt. You don't even qualify for a 504 unless you can show a cognitive business plan for the term of the loan. You have to have 10% down. The only reason I used the 504 program was because the local bank had limits and could not loan me the full amount I needed. You have to give personal guarantees and feed them paperwork yearly. They check to make sure you pay your property taxes. An Omni loan is an old fashioned loan where you go into it with every intention of paying it back. It has nothing in common with the fiscal irresponsibility demonstrated by the current regime. If you default on an Omni there are teeth. First you are out your 10%. The local bank has first position on everything. There would likely be an auction sale. If not enough was recouped they would come after whoever signed the guarantees. You would have to sell all your stuff except your house. After they got done taking whatever they could and they were still short then and only then would the MN SBA be on the hook. But you never would have gotten the loan in the first place if it wasn't a good risk. The default rate in MN is low. Bars and restaurants are generally NEVER financed with a 504. I got rid of my Omni last year. I got paid down enough and refinanced at a lower rate. It was a good tool at the time.
 

russholio

Well-known member
Hmmm.....wasn't it too long ago that they claimed their aging refineries couldn't keep up with demand, hence the high prices? Rotten lying SOB's.
 

michaeladams

New member
last year they had us conditioned to think 2.79 was cheap. this year 3.11 is cheap, next year 3.27 will be cheap. it never goes down. they will never tell the truth and when ewe finally start to catch on the change the rules or the story.we can't win because we the sheeple serve a higher power now. bow down and repeat the mantra, at least 6 times a day.
 

catdog

Member
Why does it go up 20 cents at a time but only comes down 3 cents at a time? In my neck of the woods it will jump up 20 cents and then over the coarse of a couple weeks it will drop back down to the price it was, 3 or 4 cents at a time.
 
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fusion

Guest
The left wing whack.....(hold on, I didn't say that) - want higher prices to further their justification for electric fueled autos.
The US governement could drop prices by 2 bucks in a week if they pursued a policy of drilling for all available oil on the American continent, with eliminated restrictions. Announce the building of a new refinery as well - and our immediate dependance on foreign oil would be history. Just remember, if you are looking for an alternative to the current joker leading this nation, just remember Newt is completely in the tank for the ethanol lobbyists.
 

anonomoose

New member
Fusion, if the oil companies are already shipping "cheap" (relative to Europe and Asia) fuels out of the USA, please explain how drilling for more will resolve the fuel prices for the average joe at the pump in the USA?

This stuff now sells on a world market and will ship to whomever will pay the most for the fuel. The only way increased drilling would bring the price of fuels down to American's is if the crude they find IN North America, had to STAY in North America. While I would be the first to sign a petition to mandate that, the oil companies would cry foul, and the law would get thrown out in court.

The way I see it is that we need to get as diverse as possible so that if the price of one fuel goes up, movement toward the others would bring the price right back down again. This is the ONLY way we get relief....
 
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