You make some very good points to consider, what stood out to me in particular was about the boomers going from being contributors to becoming a liability. Here's a related question: When you (and others) quote that consumer spending is a certain % of the economy, what makes up the rest? Most business investment I would assume is essentially consumer-driven in the end. Is the rest infrastructure? Defense? Government research? Just wondering what else makes up the non-consumer components.
I don't know if I'd take your bet, but I would like to plan on getting a pasty at Krupps in 5 years.
Thanks!
Here is what I found in an MPR article, slightly dated (pre-recession) but I think it answers the question
More than two-thirds of the nation's Gross Domestic Product derives from everyday stuff like dining out, buying a new shirt or visiting the dentist. About 14 percent stems from private investment, for instance companies purchasing new machinery or building new factories. And the rest comes from government spending on things like bridge building, schools, and defense.
One of the issues with the 70% is that it does count healthcare, of which a big chunk is government paid.
I'll buy the pasty!