This is all lake effect. Most weather stations or apps refuse to forecast it until a day or so before it starts. Keep in mind this is accumulative across a 5 day span.I hope that's right. Checked AccuWeather this morning and they took snow out of the forecast for next week in the Northwoods and moved it to Chicago area, predicting 6-8".
I hear ya. Sure do miss his insight. This graphic is from Midwest weather on Facebook. I am slightly concerned, that the GFS and Euro models aren’t picking up much yet, whereas the 2 large LES events earlier this month did.Yes hopefully that is somewhat accurate but like Mezz has said before there was only guy that I know of that had Lake effect figured out and he is the man who started this site. He was incredible at it and since he has moved on to a better place I am taking when it's on the ground that's when I will totally believe it. Plus I have learned no point getting to excited one way or another. One thing about weather is it will do what it wants to do. Here's to hoping that is correct the cold air will be in place. Sure be nice to see other areas get snow too.
THe good news is this storm is a week out. Hopefully it shifts north where we can use it to get this snowmobile season started.I hope that's right. Checked AccuWeather this morning and they took snow out of the forecast for next week in the Northwoods and moved it to Chicago area, predicting 6-8".
Keep in mind, the model runs are in part simulations of weather patterns based on past patterns as well as current actual data which includes upper atmosphere temp & winds & barometric pressure. Hundreds of simulations can be run for each individual model based on all of this information, this is where the Meteorologist's knowledge goes to work. I believe this is part of the reason that John used the window of 3-4 days in forecasting accuracy as many factors can change in a short period of time. One thing that does hold some hope in developing snows later this week is the infiltration of some colder air which could start some LES action, however, there is more to that than just the presence of the cold air.I hear ya. Sure do miss his insight. This graphic is from Midwest weather on Facebook. I am slightly concerned, that the GFS and Euro models aren’t picking up much yet, whereas the 2 large LES events earlier this month did.
I hear you. But, maybe if everyone washed our cars todayAt this time, there is no indication of anything significant by way of snowfall. Colder, yes, significant snow, not yet, but, things can change.