We have been practicing supply side economics for 30 years.
WHERE ARE THE JOBS?
What is forgotten is that the economic situation in 2011 is vastly different from the Reagan years. Reagan inherited a stagnant economy with high inflation, record high interest rates, consumer spending accounted for 62% of the economy. Baby boomers, the largest segment of consumers, were in their early 30's, about to embark on the largest spending spree known to civilization. Credit cards were not maxed out, and we cared more about our new BMW than our retirement. He gave us tax cuts, and man, we spent it!
Things are different now. Economy is stagnant, little, if any core inflation. Interest rates are so low the Fed gives money away. Consumer spending now drives 70% of the economy, and boomers, still the largest segment of the economy, have had their home values wiped out, their 401ks decimated, and are facing the prospect of eating cat food at retirement. Their credit cards are maxed out, and in 6 years they will quit working.
The economic theories of the 80's do not apply to 2011. Cutting taxes is NOT driving economic growth, look it up. The tax cuts are driving an increased saving rate (from 2% to 5-6%), reduced credit card debt, and massive borrowing by the government.
Why? Because baby boomers (me) have shut their wallets, and they will stay closed. And the generations behind me are massively underemployed and their wallets are also closed. This consumer driven economy has come to the end of the track, because the vast numbers of consumers that drive it don't have the money.
If tax cuts drive jobs, WHERE ARE THE JOBS? Is it possible, just maybe, that in this economic scenario of 2011 that tax cuts drive debt?