groomerdriver
New member
If he starts a thread I can see the title but nothing else. If somebody else replies to one of his posts, I can see it but I try real hard not to look because my eyeballs start on fire.
No One Excited About JD Xmas Forecast?
- Thread starter whitedust
- Start date
If he starts a thread I can see the title but nothing else. If somebody else replies to one of his posts, I can see it but I try real hard not to look because my eyeballs start on fire.
Thanks for the reply 440_chazz!
While I did not watch the pre-storm media hype (kinda had our own snow situation going on up here!), from some of the posts on the board and FB I got the feeling that there might be some that were disappointed in the results.
I have no problems taking my lumps when I am wrong. I don't enjoy it, but will reap what I sow. One of my biggest fears is being grouped into all the other forecasts and then being called wrong when that was not really the case. Unfortunately, I think that when it comes to the media, the powers at the top do not care as much about accuracy as they do presentation. I think shelby369 is on the right track with his thinking.
Anyway, I appreciate your input and will also appreciate any other input. I am being 100% truthful when I say I want to make sure that my forecasts are taken for what they are and not others. For better or worse!
-John
While I did not watch the pre-storm media hype (kinda had our own snow situation going on up here!), from some of the posts on the board and FB I got the feeling that there might be some that were disappointed in the results.
I have no problems taking my lumps when I am wrong. I don't enjoy it, but will reap what I sow. One of my biggest fears is being grouped into all the other forecasts and then being called wrong when that was not really the case. Unfortunately, I think that when it comes to the media, the powers at the top do not care as much about accuracy as they do presentation. I think shelby369 is on the right track with his thinking.
Anyway, I appreciate your input and will also appreciate any other input. I am being 100% truthful when I say I want to make sure that my forecasts are taken for what they are and not others. For better or worse!
-John
groomerdriver
New member
FWIW-Ireadthat...
I give up!!!!!
Try again.....I read and watch what the NWS weather folks are saying. They update their 4cast discussion 2X per day and their online forecasts often...sometimes every hour. Your's we see 1X per day and 1X for the weekend and that's fine.
It's almost comical what I read sometimes on the Fdiscussion. The "we blew it again" nuances. In the 5 years I've lived here we have exceeded their max. 4casted totals 1X...yes ONCE. Some times we get the minimum amount 4casted and sometimes we get less than the min. 4casted.
I think you JD are a true meteorologist vs. nowadays all these guys do is pick a model and 4cast from there. If you look at the 384 GFS it's predicting RAIN for many areas of Wisconsin in the coming 2 weeks! So there is MY fcast!!! LOL!!
dfattack
Well-known member
I would like you to be wrong when you don't predict snow so that we get a lot more snow.
dfattack
Well-known member
I'm actually interested to see what happens this upcoming Wednesday/Wednesday night. You are more conservative this week. Accuweather calling for 10"!
Leadwing72
New member
I have turned many people on to you for accurate snow reports. We all appreciate how difficult it is to have accuracy with something that is nearly impossible to nail down 100%. I can't count the number of times people have said to me "wow that John Dee really is the most reliable snowcaster." That makes me smile not because I like to tell people "I told you so," but because now they can stop buggin me for the info!!! Keep up the great work my friend.
zimmer1310
Member
if we could get 3-4 of the white gold here in So. Mn, it would greatly inmprove the trails. the DNR panned the trail again this morning. any December riding here is a bonus.
snobuilder
Well-known member
Yes the last 2 weekend storms were like 40+ hour long events with no snow falling in intervals of sadness....Sat night around 7 pm the snow stopped and the radar didn't look good down here in far SE WI and I started to think the storm was out of moisture....yet a 1/2 hour later it started up again and continued on til 4am Sunday.
Having 12"+ down here is a sweet surprise.
Best thing about JD is that unlike the weather dudes down here , he doesn't think he has a thing to do with the weather, JD just predicts it.
Having 12"+ down here is a sweet surprise.
Best thing about JD is that unlike the weather dudes down here , he doesn't think he has a thing to do with the weather, JD just predicts it.
Chaz summed it up perfectly. I was one that was quite disappointed with JD's and other forecasters forecast along with others I would assume, as I thought we were waking up Saturday morning to 8 plus. We only had 3-4. Then we got 5-6 Saturday evening and night. So he nailed it for my area.
One thing when a storm hits like this on a weekend with JD only doing forecasts Monday thru Friday he doesn't really have the luxury to tweak his forecast like the other forecasters can on the fly when circumstances change.
I mean 6-8 inches you're really splitting hairs. Not like we only got an inch.
groomerdriver
New member
*** prey tell are you talking about? Forget about it, IHCGARA.
POLARISDAN
New member
he needs prozac..never seen a guy go up and down so often..
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did u figure out january yet?
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john not sure he was referring to your forecast..i think they are referring to the tv hype in general
G
G
Guest
Day after day week after week John is right more than he is wrong. For my area anyway. I like the hype associated with any snow event. I am in grocery retail and there is nothing like a big snow prediction to drive sales. Fear and panic are great motivaters. If the snow fails to materialize my sleds just get a little more cleaned up and ready to go. It's all good.
momoney2123
New member
Looking forward to todays forecast as the big snow event around christmas I see some forecasters(wunderground/intellicast) are now bringing up the -R- word. please no!!!!!
D
Deleted member 10829
Guest
Yep, this is why I don't get too excited until I see the snow. We can only hope it changes again.
momoney2123
New member
NOooooooooooooooooooooooo