You cannot use your survivability rate of 99.whatever% as a projectible predictor. Why Not? Because it is the result of current behavior, i.e. offices closed, airplanes not flying, schools closed, masks, etc. These are known as "causal factors". If you change the causal factors, as in open the economy, you will get a different result. Therefore, you can only project your survivability rate maintaining current behavior. Change the behavior and the test rate is no longer projectible.
While your presumption sounds naturally sensible, whose to really say that all of the aforementioned factors truly helped the cause? If you compare covid cases & deaths of states who had very low restrictions like Florida for example, they fared a lot better than many states like New York who were practically locked down Marshall law style for awhile... This entire thing is new to everyone, I get it, but there is no factual information proving that masks, lockdowns, and social distancing help anything but pushing off the inevitable for a little bit of time... This thing is a virus that’s not going to disappear today, tomorrow, next year, or even for this next decade. Do I wish it would? Heck yeah but continuing to destroy the economy that every last American should want to see thrive at the cost of a virus that is 99.7% survivable just seems extremely backwards. Many Americans have lost their jobs due to this unfortunate ordeal, in turn losing their income AND their way of life. The cost of many necessities have skyrocketed to the point many have had to cutback on doing things they love because they simply can no longer afford to do it. Let’s also think about the effect of for example, the cost of lumber. Prices have quadrupled. The American dream of many, to build a new home, has now gone out the window for most. Experts don’t believe the prices will ever come down again either. Did this just affect potential new home buyers? NO what about the builders trying to make a living? How do you make a living when nobody can afford to build new homes? All of these things happened over the mass panic over a 99.7% survivable virus. I realize I’m starting to get a little off topic over the vaccine, just some excellent food for thought in my opinion...
On the contrary, pertaining to the vaccine, I had read that there have been over 1500 Americans who have died from vaccine complications so far. Do I know for certain that number is factual? I do not. But let’s say the information I read is true. Those 1500 people have survived a 99.7% survivable virus thus far. Let’s apply that 99.7% number to those individuals. 1495 should have survived the virus HAD they contracted it. 5 would have passed. For all we know the 1500 could’ve been people in somewhat poor health to begin with? We will never know unfortunately.
Everybody’s situation is different and we all have to respect that, I’m just trying to give my input on the matter for others to look at from possibly a different angle.
Another tidbit I’d like to share, is that I have been a fortunate one so far. I have not missed a minute of work due to the matter, am still working 48 hrs a week, with 150 other maskless people, I have hardly changed a thing in my daily life, even eating out at restaurants probably MORE often than before, which is enjoyable to be surrounded by other smiling people. Was also surrounded by thousands of different people at baseball tournaments all last summer coaching. Have yet to contract it. Where am I going with this? Will everyone be as lucky as me? No. Do I expect others to live the way I do since I’m doing fine? Absolutely not, but that should be the greatest part about us all living in America! Ok I’ll stop rambling now... I blame the pain meds from my knee surgery today!